Brackets for March Madness lock today (3/19) at noon. If you’re still scratching your head over who you want to move forward, here are four tips from official mathematicians that could help.
1. Don’t let bias dictate your decision.
In other words, don’t pick Boise State to win it all just because you went to Boise State.
2. Don’t pick Kentucky to lose, just to be different.
They’re the favorite because they’re undefeated. Statistician Nate Silver, who predicted almost everything right in the 2008 election. He’s calculated that Kentucky has a 41% chance of winning, followed by Villanova at 11% and Wisconsin at 10%.
3. Don’t pick any team lower than a five seed to win it all.
Meaning a number six seed, a number 10 seed… the higher the number, the lower ranked they are. According to Silver, any team with a lower seed than that has less than a 1% chance of winning.
4. Look at who’s been winning recently.
A North Carolina cheerleader filled out a bracket last year simply looking at the teams that won the most games. She beat 96% of all the brackets.